Home / Blog / Cost Comparison: Gas vs. Oil vs. Electricity, Part 4

Cost Comparison: Gas vs. Oil vs. Electricity, Part 4

June 25, 2013 | Posted by Mitt Jones
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In Part 3 of this article, we calculated the annual heating costs for a moderate-size, mid-efficiency Portland-area home:

Electricity with ductless heat pump:          $    703
Natural gas with 90% AFUE furnace:          $    733
Electric resistance heating:                             $ 1,758
Oil with 80% AFUE burner:                              $ 1,875

These numbers are probably pretty close for a house with all of its ducting in a basement or internal walls. If your ducts run through an unconditioned attic or crawlspace, you should factor in at least a 10 percent loss in efficiency for the gas and oil furnaces. If your duct system is more on the leaky side, the efficiency of your system as a whole could be 20 to 30 percent less than our assumed efficiency here.

Let’s say your ducts run through your crawlspace and are kind of leaky. If we estimate overall system efficiency at 75% with a gas furnace, including duct losses, your estimated annual fuel cost would be $880.

On the other hand, a ductless heat pump with a only one or two heads—which is the recommended configuration—may well require backup heat in some areas of of the house, especially during extreme weather. Let’s say two thirds of your 60,000,000 annual heating load could be provided by a ductless heat pump and the other 20,000,000 will be provided by electric resistance heating. This would bump up your estimated heating costs for the year to about $1,055.

For most people, the right answer to what type of system to install flows fairly naturally from a few basic questions:

1) Do you already have a reasonably sound duct system?
2) Is natural gas available in your area?
3) Do you need air conditioning?

If your answer to question 1 is yes, then sticking with a ducted system probably makes sense. A natural gas furnace should prove much less expensive to run and is also typically easier to maintain. And you don’t have to worry about running out of oil.

To keep things simple (sort of), so far we’ve ignored another popular electrical heating choice—the conventional, air-source heat pump. If you have a duct system but don’t have access to natural gas, then a ducted heat pump system may be just what you need. A ducted heat pump is also a good option if air conditioning is a priority. One caveat: Not all duct systems are big enough to handle the higher airflow requirements of heating with a heat pump. Another: Conventional air-source heat pumps lose efficiency as temperatures drop, and the great majority of installations will require some sort of back-up heat to kick in when temperatures drop much below freezing.

To ballpark annual heating costs with a conventional heat pump, assume an overall efficiency of about 230 percent before duct losses. (To calculate the heating efficiency of a given heat pump, divide the HSPF by 3.413.) That would give you an estimated cost per year of $764 for our hypothetical Portland house.

Installation cost is often a deciding factor, all else being equal. For instance, while you might be able to replace your furnace with a high-efficiency gas model for around $5,000, installing a conventional heat pump might cost twice that. And if you don't already have a duct system, installing one will be pricey—probably $3,000 to $5,000.  

Join The Discussion

Posted by Clzwld on
Hi.
Couple of comments.
Not sure of the time as I read the links?
Nice webstie. Very crisp and uncluttered. Easy to navigate and just a pleasure to use.
I'm in Utah and not sure of the timeline on your examples but looking at my gas bill I'm ? pretty pissed at thinking about it.
The current therm rate is 8.64. So with that # it puts lots of stuff out of balance. I do think the true cost per therm to the Gas co is ? 1.40-1.80 per therm. But if at 1.50 we are talking 576% margin. OUTRAGIOUS!
Later.
Clz
Posted by mzdda on
I believe you are looking at a decatherm cost. I am in Utah as well and the cost for a dth (decatherm) is $8.50442 which equates to $.8
Posted by mzdda on
Sorry, that is $.85 per therm
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Posted by kare gallagher on
i am in a class and could not figure out what the difference between the fuel price/mill BTU and fuel cost/mill btu

Q.# 2: this is the question the average home in ohio uses 70 million BTU per year. approx. how much does it cost to heat with fuel ole for one year? if the fuel oil price is 2.89 per gallon how doe you figure this problem our:
fuel oil 2.89 per gallon , fuel price 20.84 per mill btu, fuel cost 26.72 per mill. btu
Posted by robert on
Wondering & almost stressed out about this . Presently have oil furnace with ducts throughout house that was built in 1949. Water tank is also heated by oil. Now oct 2 2015 & where we live here in nfld island canada we have long cold winters. from nov to april. Thinking of converting from ducted oil to ducted forced air electric furnace with electric hot water furnace because oil here is now down to 70 cents a litre & i have outside 200 gal (canadian) oil tank that is due to be replaced in march of 2016 with new regulations at a cost of $2800 canadian where as my furnace is only 10 years old & in perfect condition & my water heater is only 4 yrs old with 6 yrs left on warranty. I was & still am worried by oil leak outside of home & wondered if less risk with electric furnace which will cost me $ 5000 can. to install. Used $3200 can last year for oil which includes furnace protection which covers any problems for year with furnace plan which covers. House is 1200 total sq ft with basement & main floor & top floor with 2 bedrooms . Presently installing new vinyl siding with styro foam with r5 factor under siding & house being old is not 100% factored for insulation but maybe 75% . New electric furnace would be 18 kw which would be around 27000btu,s i think. Am desperate looking for info on way to go. Would appr. reply asap on your opinion. Thanks so much . "BOB".
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